Latest Blog Posts

Explaining the UK’s official COVID-19 death statistics

Three key death statistics are published on the UK Government’s official COVID-19 dashboard: Daily deaths within 28-days of a positive COVID-19 test by date of death; the same, but by date reported; and daily deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate by date of death. The most widely cited daily figure is “deaths within 28-days… Continue reading Explaining the UK’s official COVID-19 death statistics

Examining the difference in 1st and 2nd wave COVID-19 deaths

There are three key differences between the first and second wave that likely impacted on COVID-19 deaths in England: The second wave was worse (more infections, hospitalisations, and deaths) than the first wave; our collective understanding of COVID-19 was greater in the second wave, meaning we had a better idea of how best to treat… Continue reading Examining the difference in 1st and 2nd wave COVID-19 deaths

Why we should use, and be optimistic about, the ONS COVID-19 infections data

COVID-19 infections have been steadily declining in the UK over the past few months, thanks to the national lockdown and the vaccination drive. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) publish weekly statistics on their ‘COVID-19 Infection Survey’ (here). This is used to calculate the number of new COVID-19 cases by randomly testing 1000s of individuals… Continue reading Why we should use, and be optimistic about, the ONS COVID-19 infections data